AjaxvsAEK Athens FC

Ajax are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while AEK Athens FC are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Ajax hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 33.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.5% in the UEFA Europa League, while Ajax holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.