Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Ajaccio are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Rodez are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rodez hold a 12.1-point power-rating edge (45.4 v 57.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.9% in the Ligue 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20