GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Airdrie United are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Partick are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Partick hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 86.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.6% in the Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

36.6%

Model confidence

36.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Airdrie UnitedLWWWW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PartickDWDWD

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Airdrie UnitedPartick
40.7Attack50.0
59.3Defence100.0
48.1Form100.0
51.0Power86.5
0.95xG1.13
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