GGOALVIO

Scotland · Championship · 8/26/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Airdrie United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Inverness CT are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Airdrie United hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (51.0 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Championship, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Airdrie UnitedLWLWW

GF 10 · GA 9 · avg 2.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Inverness CTLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Airdrie UnitedInverness CT
40.7Attack0.0
59.3Defence100.0
48.1Form33.3
51.0Power48.3
1.08xG0.89
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