Airdrie Unitedvs
Hamilton Academical
COMPLETEDScotland · League One · 10/17/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hamilton Academical · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Airdrie United 0-2 Hamilton Academical, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Airdrie United 1-2 Hamilton Academical
Original prediction
Hamilton Academical
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 17:18 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.32 | 27.5% | 13.7% | -13.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.43 | 26.7% | 20.3% | -6.4 pts |
| Away | 1.99 | 45.9% | 66.0% | 20.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.99 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
20.2 pts
Projected Score
Airdrie United 0–2 Hamilton Academical
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Hamilton Academical
Probability
66.0%
Model confidence
66.0%
Hamilton Academical has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 19 · GA 6 · avg 3.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 1 · avg 2.20/0.20