GGOALVIO

Scotland · League One · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

East Fife · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Airdrie United 0-0 East Fife

Original prediction

East Fife

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8449.3%34.4%-14.9 pts
Draw3.5025.9%27.6%1.6 pts
Away3.6724.8%38.1%13.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.50 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

13.3 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.0–112%
  3. 3.0–012%

Predicted outcome

East Fife

Probability

38.1%

Model confidence

38.1%

East Fife has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Airdrie UnitedLLLWD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
East FifeLDLDW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Airdrie UnitedEast Fife
16.7Attack25.0
33.3Defence83.3
16.7Form41.7
25.9Power51.6
0.96xG1.32
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