Airbus UKvs
The New Saints
COMPLETEDWales · Welsh Cup · 10/16/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (8%), 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Airbus UK 1-2 The New Saints
Original prediction
The New Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 01:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.99 | 8.2% | 32.0% | 23.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.30 | 14.3% | 23.3% | 9.0 pts |
| Away | 1.16 | 77.5% | 44.8% | -32.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.16 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-32.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–18%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.2–28%
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
44.8%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 25 · GA 3 · avg 5.00/0.60