Airbus UKvs
The New Saints
COMPLETEDWales · Premier League · 9/11/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
The New Saints · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Airbus UK 0-2 The New Saints
Original prediction
The New Saints
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.64 | 8.6% | 22.2% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 6.16 | 14.8% | 22.1% | 7.3 pts |
| Away | 1.19 | 76.7% | 55.8% | -20.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
The New Saints
Probability
55.8%
Model confidence
55.8%
The New Saints has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 15 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/0.60