Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
12%
MediumconfidenceAirbus UK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Holywell are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Airbus UK hold a 32.5-point power-rating edge (47.8 v 15.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Premier League, favouring a draw with 11.9% confidence, a 57% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
25.1%
Model confidence
11.9%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Airbus UKLWWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
HolywellLLLWL
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Airbus UKHolywell
16.7Attack33.3
66.7Defence0.0
50.0Form0.0
47.8Power15.3
1.85xG1.08