GGOALVIO

Sweden · Damallsvenskan · 10/25/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AIK W · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (13%), 0-0 (13%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

AIK W 2-0 Rosengård W

Original prediction

AIK W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:47 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.9845.4%46.3%0.9 pts
Draw3.3227.1%26.6%-0.5 pts
Away3.2827.5%27.2%-0.3 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.98 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

0.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–114%
  2. 2.1–013%
  3. 3.0–013%

Predicted outcome

AIK W

Probability

46.3%

Model confidence

46.3%

AIK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AIK WLLWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Rosengård WWLWWL

GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AIK WRosengård W
48.5Attack34.8
51.5Defence60.6
51.5Form34.8
52.4Power45.0
1.27xG0.91
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