AIK Wvs
Hammarby W
COMPLETEDSweden · Damallsvenskan · 9/19/2026, 11:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby W · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (13%), 0-3 (11%), 0-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AIK W 2-1 Hammarby W
Original prediction
Hammarby W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 8.49 | 10.6% | 9.5% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.89 | 18.5% | 16.1% | -2.4 pts |
| Away | 1.27 | 70.9% | 74.4% | 3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–213%
- 2.0–311%
- 3.0–110%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby W
Probability
74.4%
Model confidence
74.4%
Hammarby W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 14 · GA 2 · avg 2.80/0.40