AIK Stockholmvs
Vasteras SK FK
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/12/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AIK Stockholm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AIK Stockholm 1-4 Vasteras SK FK
Original prediction
AIK Stockholm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.00 | 46.6% | 51.9% | 5.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 26.8% | 22.7% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 3.50 | 26.6% | 25.4% | -1.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–08%
Predicted outcome
AIK Stockholm
Probability
51.9%
Model confidence
51.9%
AIK Stockholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20