GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 5/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

AIK Stockholm are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WDLDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sirius are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sirius hold a 29.0-point power-rating edge (51.9 v 80.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.0% in the Allsvenskan, while Sirius holds the strongest overall chance at 63% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sirius

Probability

63.0%

Model confidence

63.0%

Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AIK StockholmWDLDL

GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SiriusWWWWD

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
AIK StockholmSirius
45.8Attack91.7
50.0Defence60.4
52.1Form87.5
51.9Power80.9
1.07xG2.42
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