AIK Stockholmvs
IFK Goteborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/17/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AIK Stockholm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AIK Stockholm 2-2 IFK Goteborg
Original prediction
AIK Stockholm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.51 | 36.9% | 47.3% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.61 | 25.7% | 21.6% | -4.1 pts |
| Away | 2.48 | 37.4% | 31.1% | -6.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.61 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–110%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
AIK Stockholm
Probability
47.3%
Model confidence
47.3%
AIK Stockholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00