AIK Stockholmvs
IF Brommapojkarna
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/10/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AIK Stockholm · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AIK Stockholm 5-6 IF Brommapojkarna
Original prediction
AIK Stockholm
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 48.9% | 45.0% | -3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.73 | 24.9% | 25.7% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.55 | 26.2% | 29.4% | 3.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
AIK Stockholm
Probability
45.0%
Model confidence
45.0%
AIK Stockholm has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20