AIK Stockholmvs
Hammarby FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 8/30/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hammarby FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 0-2 (12%), 1-1 (10%), 1-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AIK Stockholm 3-2 Hammarby FF
Original prediction
Hammarby FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.69 | 19.9% | 14.8% | -5.1 pts |
| Draw | 4.19 | 22.2% | 18.9% | -3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.61 | 57.9% | 66.3% | 8.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.0–212%
- 2.1–110%
- 3.1–210%
Predicted outcome
Hammarby FF
Probability
66.3%
Model confidence
66.3%
Hammarby FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20