Ahrobiznes Volochyskvs
Livyi Bereh
COMPLETEDUkraine · Cup · 9/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Livyi Bereh · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ahrobiznes Volochysk 1-1 Livyi Bereh
Original prediction
Livyi Bereh
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.28 | 21.3% | 34.7% | 13.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.7% | 26.9% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 1.69 | 54.0% | 38.4% | -15.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-15.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Livyi Bereh
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
Livyi Bereh has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.40