Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Husqvarna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Ahlafors 2-0 Husqvarna
Original prediction
Husqvarna
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.74 | 32.8% | 26.7% | -6.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.47 | 25.9% | 21.8% | -4.2 pts |
| Away | 2.18 | 41.2% | 51.5% | 10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–28%
Predicted outcome
Husqvarna
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Husqvarna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
AhlaforsLWDWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HusqvarnaWWLWW
GF 13 · GA 12 · avg 2.60/2.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AhlaforsHusqvarna
75.0Attack83.3
60.0Defence75.0
56.7Form90.0
61.8Power83.1
1.26xG1.98