Ahalvs
Köpetdag Aşgabat
COMPLETEDTurkmenistan · Ýokary Liga · 4/4/2026, 11:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ahal · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
Ahal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Köpetdag Aşgabat are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Ahal hold a 39.7-point power-rating edge (69.8 v 30.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.1% in the Ýokary Liga, while Ahal holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ahal
Probability
86.1%
Model confidence
86.1%
Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
GF 5 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/3.00