GGOALVIO

Turkmenistan · Ýokary Liga · 4/28/2023, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ahal · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Ahal are 1W-0D-2L in their last 3 (LLW), averaging 0.67 scored and 1.33 conceded, while Köpetdag Aşgabat are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (LWW), averaging 1.33 scored and 1.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ahal hold a 39.7-point power-rating edge (69.8 v 30.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 86.1% in the Ýokary Liga, while Ahal holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ahal

Probability

86.1%

Model confidence

86.1%

Ahal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AhalLLW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.67/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Köpetdag AşgabatLWW

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 1.33/1.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 2/3
AhalKöpetdag Aşgabat
60.0Attack28.9
77.8Defence31.1
73.3Form24.4
69.8Power30.1
3.02xG0.40
View match centre →