Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aguia FC · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Aguia FC 1-3 Jaguaré
Original prediction
Aguia FC
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 7 October 2026 at 03:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Aguia FC
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
39.1%
Aguia FC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Aguia FCL
GF 0 · GA 1 · avg 0.00/1.00
BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
JaguaréLLLDL
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Aguia FCJaguaré
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence33.3
0.0Form0.0
23.7Power23.7
1.32xG1.06