Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Oeste U20 · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Aguai U20 are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Oeste U20 are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (LDWDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Oeste U20 hold a 33.8-point power-rating edge (22.8 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Paulista - U20, while Oeste U20 holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Oeste U20
Probability
72.2%
Model confidence
15.1%
Oeste U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 8 · avg 1.80/1.60