GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Agropecuario 0-0 Midland, with an exact score probability of 29%.

Prediction record

Final result

Agropecuario 0-0 Midland

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.2241.4%27.0%-14.4 pts
Draw2.9631.1%34.6%3.5 pts
Away3.3427.5%38.4%10.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.96 · Draw 1.96 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

3.5 pts

Projected Score

Agropecuario 0–0 Midland

Exact score probability: 29%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

34.6%

Model confidence

38.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AgropecuarioLWLWD

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
MidlandLWWLL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AgropecuarioMidland
28.0Attack36.6
62.4Defence72.0
38.7Form50.5
45.1Power54.8
0.49xG0.79
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