GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera Nacional · 9/20/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Agropecuario 0-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro, with an exact score probability of 27%.

Prediction record

Final result

Agropecuario 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro

Original prediction

Draw

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.1043.6%28.9%-14.6 pts
Draw2.9231.3%33.8%2.5 pts
Away3.6325.2%37.2%12.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

2.5 pts

Projected Score

Agropecuario 0–0 Gimnasia Y Tiro

Exact score probability: 27%

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

33.8%

Model confidence

37.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AgropecuarioLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Gimnasia Y TiroDWWLD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AgropecuarioGimnasia Y Tiro
28.7Attack35.6
60.9Defence70.1
37.9Form51.7
44.5Power54.8
0.54xG0.80
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