Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Şagadam · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Şagadam are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Energetik are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 4 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Şagadam hold an 8.1-point power-rating edge (38.0 v 29.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Ýokary Liga, while Şagadam holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Şagadam
Probability
43.1%
Model confidence
43.1%
Şagadam has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/2.00
GF 0 · GA 3 · avg 0.00/1.50