Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Aşgabat · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Aşgabat are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Nebitci are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (WD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 3 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Nebitci hold a 6.0-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 35.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.3% in the Ýokary Liga, while Aşgabat holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Aşgabat
Probability
38.3%
Model confidence
38.3%
Aşgabat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 1 · GA 0 · avg 1.00/0.00
GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.50