Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Arkadag · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-4
Aşgabat are 2W-0D-1L in their last 3 (WLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Arkadag are 3W-0D-0L in their last 3 (WWW), averaging 3.33 scored and 0.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 6 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Arkadag hold a 59.9-point power-rating edge (29.9 v 89.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 89.8% in the Ýokary Liga, while Arkadag holds the strongest overall chance at 90% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Arkadag
Probability
89.8%
Model confidence
89.8%
Arkadag has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 3.33/0.33