Aftureldingvs
Vestri
COMPLETEDIceland · 1. Deild · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-1 (9%), 3-1 (8%), 5-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Afturelding 2-0 Vestri
Original prediction
Afturelding
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:56 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.26 | 72.0% | 76.7% | 4.7 pts |
| Draw | 5.78 | 15.7% | 12.2% | -3.5 pts |
| Away | 7.40 | 12.3% | 11.1% | -1.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.26 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–19%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.5–17%
Predicted outcome
Afturelding
Probability
76.7%
Model confidence
76.7%
Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 18 · GA 6 · avg 3.60/1.20
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60