GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-1

Lowconfidence

Afturelding are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 3.40 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Vestri are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 23.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

76.5%

Model confidence

8.6%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AftureldingDWLWW

GF 17 · GA 11 · avg 3.40/2.20

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VestriWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AftureldingVestri
100.0Attack51.9
43.1Defence31.5
68.6Form44.4
68.0Power44.5
4.26xG1.55
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