GGOALVIO

Iceland · 1. Deild · 5/12/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

Afturelding are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Thor Akureyri are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 2 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Afturelding hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 42.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 76.4% in the 1. Deild, while Afturelding holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 69% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Afturelding

Probability

76.4%

Model confidence

76.4%

Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AftureldingW

GF 3 · GA 1 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
Thor AkureyriW

GF 2 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/1O2.5 1/1
AftureldingThor Akureyri
100.0Attack40.9
43.1Defence40.9
68.6Form40.9
68.0Power42.7
3.69xG1.22
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