Aftureldingvs
Breidablik
COMPLETEDIceland · Cup · 9/11/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Afturelding · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Afturelding 1-2 Breidablik
Original prediction
Afturelding
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 06:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.52 | 35.9% | 37.7% | 1.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.87 | 23.4% | 27.3% | 3.9 pts |
| Away | 2.23 | 40.7% | 35.0% | -5.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Afturelding
Probability
37.7%
Model confidence
37.7%
Afturelding has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80