African Starsvs
Orlando Pirates
COMPLETEDWorld · CAF Champions League · 10/17/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Orlando Pirates · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
African Stars 0-1 Orlando Pirates
Original prediction
Orlando Pirates
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 5.83 | 15.5% | 29.2% | 13.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.2% | 28.8% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 1.52 | 59.3% | 42.0% | -17.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.52 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-17.3 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Orlando Pirates
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Orlando Pirates has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60