GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 8/20/2024, 6:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Wycombe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Wimbledon are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Wycombe are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Wycombe hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 76.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.8% in the EFL Trophy, while Wycombe holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Wycombe

Probability

40.8%

Model confidence

40.8%

Wycombe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC WimbledonLWWLL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
WycombeLWLLW

GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC WimbledonWycombe
61.1Attack58.3
61.1Defence75.0
55.6Form87.5
59.2Power76.3
1.22xG1.52
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