AFC Wimbledonvs
Wigan
SCHEDULEDEngland · League One · 8/30/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Wigan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AFC Wimbledon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wigan are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Wigan hold a 10.6-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 53.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the League One, while Wigan holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Wigan
Probability
44.8%
Model confidence
14.2%
Wigan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20