AFC Wimbledonvs
Stevenage
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/5/2023, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AFC Wimbledon are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Stevenage are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 4.3-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 54.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.0% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AFC Wimbledon
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80