AFC Wimbledonvs
Reading
SCHEDULEDEngland · League One · 8/22/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Reading · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
AFC Wimbledon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Reading are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and reading hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (43.1 v 48.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the League One, favouring Reading with 13.7% confidence, a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Reading
Probability
41.2%
Model confidence
13.7%
Reading has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40