GGOALVIO

AFC Wimbledon logoAFC WimbledonvsOxford United logoOxford United

COMPLETED

England · EFL Trophy · 1/9/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Wimbledon are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWLWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Oxford United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Oxford United hold a 3.3-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 62.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.6% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Wimbledon

Probability

37.6%

Model confidence

37.6%

AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC WimbledonDWLWW

GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Oxford UnitedWLWLW

GF 10 · GA 7 · avg 2.00/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
AFC WimbledonOxford United
61.1Attack60.0
61.1Defence73.3
55.6Form60.0
59.2Power62.4
1.56xG1.43
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