GGOALVIO

England · EFL Trophy · 2/10/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AFC Wimbledon are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Northampton are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 63.6% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Wimbledon

Probability

63.6%

Model confidence

63.6%

AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC WimbledonWWLDL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
NorthamptonWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
AFC WimbledonNorthampton
61.1Attack55.6
61.1Defence11.1
55.6Form11.1
59.2Power29.5
2.66xG1.23
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