AFC Wimbledonvs
Milton Keynes Dons
COMPLETEDEngland · League One · 9/17/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Wimbledon · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 1-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Wimbledon 0-0 Milton Keynes Dons
Original prediction
AFC Wimbledon
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.05 | 30.5% | 38.4% | 7.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.5% | 27.6% | 0.1 pts |
| Away | 2.21 | 42.0% | 34.1% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.1–012%
Predicted outcome
AFC Wimbledon
Probability
38.4%
Model confidence
38.4%
AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60