AFC Wimbledonvs
Crystal Palace U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/16/2025, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AFC Wimbledon are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 10 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 42.5-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.4% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AFC Wimbledon
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 12 · GA 13 · avg 2.40/2.60