AFC Wimbledonvs
Crystal Palace U21
COMPLETEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 11/7/2023, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Wimbledon · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
AFC Wimbledon are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Crystal Palace U21 are 2W-0D-2L in their last 4 (LWWL), averaging 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Wimbledon hold a 42.5-point power-rating edge (59.2 v 16.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 69.4% in the EFL Trophy, while AFC Wimbledon holds the strongest overall chance at 69% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 71% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
AFC Wimbledon
Probability
69.4%
Model confidence
69.4%
AFC Wimbledon has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.25/1.00