AFC Wimbledonvs
Barnet
SCHEDULEDEngland · EFL Trophy · 9/2/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
AFC Wimbledon are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Barnet are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Power ratings are near level at 50.0 against 50.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the EFL Trophy, favouring a draw with 13.5% confidence, a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
28.2%
Model confidence
13.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60