GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 9/23/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1

Highconfidence

AFC Totton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Swindon Supermarine are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Totton hold a 22.7-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 42.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 78.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

78.1%

Model confidence

78.1%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC TottonDLWWW

GF 15 · GA 7 · avg 3.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Swindon SupermarineDLLLL

GF 4 · GA 15 · avg 0.80/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
AFC TottonSwindon Supermarine
70.6Attack57.9
64.3Defence27.0
64.3Form38.9
65.5Power42.8
3.58xG1.07
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