GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 1/6/2024, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Totton are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Sholing are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDW), averaging 0.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sholing hold a 17.8-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC TottonDDDWD

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
SholingDLLDW

GF 2 · GA 4 · avg 0.40/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
AFC TottonSholing
70.6Attack33.3
64.3Defence100.0
64.3Form100.0
65.5Power83.3
1.99xG0.99
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