GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 8/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Totton are 3W-0D-1L in their last 4 (WWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Salisbury are 0W-2D-2L in their last 4 (DLLD), averaging 0.50 scored and 1.25 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Totton hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 62.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.7% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 52% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

47.7%

Model confidence

47.7%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC TottonWWLW

GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/1.00

BTTS 1/4O2.5 3/4
SalisburyDLLD

GF 2 · GA 5 · avg 0.50/1.25

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
AFC TottonSalisbury
70.6Attack55.6
64.3Defence63.5
64.3Form62.7
65.5Power62.5
1.69xG1.09
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