GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 3/19/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Totton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Plymouth Parkway are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Plymouth Parkway hold a 10.0-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 75.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.6% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

54.6%

Model confidence

54.6%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC TottonLWWDW

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Plymouth ParkwayLLLLD

GF 1 · GA 8 · avg 0.20/1.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
AFC TottonPlymouth Parkway
70.6Attack100.0
64.3Defence83.3
64.3Form66.7
65.5Power75.5
2.07xG1.16
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