GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 4/20/2024, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

AFC Totton are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWD), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Merthyr Town are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Totton hold an 8.3-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.1% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 67% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

54.1%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC TottonLWWWD

GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Merthyr TownLDWWL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
AFC TottonMerthyr Town
70.6Attack67.5
64.3Defence53.2
64.3Form53.2
65.5Power57.2
2.21xG1.30
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