AFC Tottonvs
Chesham United
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - South · 8/29/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
AFC Totton · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Totton 0-4 Chesham United
Original prediction
AFC Totton
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:57 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.82 | 32.2% | 42.1% | 9.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.40 | 26.8% | 27.2% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.22 | 41.0% | 30.6% | -10.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
AFC Totton
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80