GGOALVIO

England · Non League Premier - Southern South · 12/3/2024, 7:45:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Totton · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

AFC Totton are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Chertsey Town are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Chertsey Town hold a 24.1-point power-rating edge (65.5 v 89.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 51.0% in the Non League Premier - Southern South, while AFC Totton holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Totton

Probability

51.0%

Model confidence

51.0%

AFC Totton has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC TottonWWWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Chertsey TownWLLWW

GF 10 · GA 8 · avg 2.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AFC TottonChertsey Town
70.6Attack83.3
64.3Defence83.3
64.3Form100.0
65.5Power89.7
1.96xG1.22
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