GGOALVIO

Canada · Northern Super League · 5/3/2026, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

AFC Toronto W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

AFC Toronto W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Halifax Tides W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and AFC Toronto W hold a 7.2-point power-rating edge (60.1 v 52.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.0% in the Northern Super League, while AFC Toronto W holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 28% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

AFC Toronto W

Probability

44.0%

Model confidence

44.0%

AFC Toronto W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

AFC Toronto WWLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Halifax Tides WWLLDD

GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
AFC Toronto WHalifax Tides W
57.1Attack40.0
69.0Defence68.9
57.1Form46.7
60.1Power52.8
1.18xG0.67
View match centre →