AFC Telford Unitedvs
Hebburn Town
COMPLETEDEngland · National League - North · 10/24/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hebburn Town · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (13%), 0-2 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
AFC Telford United 2-2 Hebburn Town
Original prediction
Hebburn Town
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 10 October 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.94 | 47.0% | 30.3% | -16.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.7% | 26.4% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 3.33 | 27.3% | 43.3% | 16.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
16.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–113%
- 3.0–211%
Predicted outcome
Hebburn Town
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Hebburn Town has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20